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Shark EA from forexeasystems a Possible System to Try

I guess many of you have noticed that I stopped forward testing many of the experts I had on my vps starting this year. The main reason is that they showed me a substantially negative behavior that made me change my opinion and in consequence, consider them not worth testing anymore.

Because of this, I am actively looking for some expert advisors to test, free or commercial. I have always been interested on the Shark EA by http://forexeasystems.com/ which is the commercial ea I know with the most extensive forward testing on record (by the seller).

I would like to know if any of you have tried this expert, what your results and opinion are and if you would like me to review the expert, if you think it is worth a try. I think it is but then I dont know anyone who has actually traded it. Well, I thank you again, I appreciate your feedback ! Please leave a comment with your opinion !

An updated review of my opinions about this trading system and my experiences trading it through 2008 (on live accounts) will be posted on September 12, 2009. Please check the Label drop down list on the left side menu and select "Shark EA" to read this review after the 13th. If you would like to learn more about my EA evaluation criteria, why most commercial expert advisors fail and how you can start profiting from automated trading system using long term profitable experts with real profit and draw down targets please consider buying my ebook on automated trading or subscribing to my weekly newsletter to receive updates and check the live and demo accounts I am running with several expert advisors. I hope you enjoyed the article !
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How it All Came to Be The Story of EA Reviewers

It feels like it has been decades when I look back a few years and see the start of what would become a daily-updated blog about automated trading systems and forex trading. Many things have passed during these two and a half years, reviewers have come and gone, experts have been tested and discarded and people have got their accounts funded and wiped. Today I want to write a post to honor all of those who have participated in this story of true expert advisor reviewing, many have found this endeavor to be too exhausting and time consuming while others have found the strength to continue with their tests and their quest for that holy grail people have been looking for since 2007. But how did this all began, how did we take the decision to start reviewer websites ? Why did so many quit and who actually remain ?

This whole journey in forex automated trading started for me in middle 2007 as I was living in the quiet and lovely region of Cumming Georgia with my girlfriend. I had already been trading the forex market for a few years (with some pauses, actually I had used mt3 before but didnt realize it had an auto trading feature) and I was certainly determined to make it work this time. One day, I had the "brilliant" idea of searching for the phrase "forex automated trading" and quickly some results popped up about metatrader, the forex-tsd forum and some very initial commercial EA websites which were more about some programmer making an EA and selling it rather than a mass marketed scam ( although this experts also didnt work).

I remember buying my first couple of experts, testing them on live accounts and feeling utterly disappointed. How could this people be so dishonest ? Why would they sell me something which would lose money so quickly and failed to show any of the results advertised ? This is when I started to look for reviewers and, to my surprise, the only true website I found which tried to review experts in an independent way belonged to a nice fellow from Singapore called Ckow Yong. I quickly contacted him and we engaged in an idea sharing relationship which lasts to this day.

However, as good as CKs approach was to EA reviewing and the great effort he was making; I didnt like several things about his site including his offering of affiliate links and the fact that he traded systems like black boxes without ever wondering if it was key to understand the logic behind them. This is the time when I decided to start this blog in which I first had a CK-like approach (without the affiliate links) and then I started to move beyond what he had done, analyzing and focusing on why all these commercial systems were not working and what could be done to make a system that worked. I consider that my website is the 2nd true unbiased review site and for this I think I am one of the "old guys" in the reviewers scene, not as known or as popular as others, but still, an old dog in this field of EA reviewing and automated trading :o).

Sadly, commercial systems took a toll on CKs patience (since nothing was working) something which prompted him to leave the expert advisor scene in search for some more reliable ways of making profit in trading. I think that CK came to the same conclusions as I did but we both took different approaches to solve the problem. He decided that experts were actually not the way to go, while I decided that making long term profitable experts should be a real possibility since all my reading and analysis had taught me that the market was certainly inefficient to some extent.

Then the "true scam age" of automated trading started with the introduction of FAP turbo and about 10 new different expert advisors every month. I can tell you that this period trialed my patience but at this time I was already a lot more knowledgeable and I was able to see right through the sales pages to give my true insights about the expert advisors I was reviewing. At this time Donna Forex started to come into the picture. She took an opportunity given by the FAP turbo expert advisor in which many people wanted to use it but they didnt know how to work with it (which settings to use, how to evaluate them, etc), since CK wasnt in the scene anymore and I wasnt interested in this system, Donna came in to fill this gap and help people use this commercial system. After this I believe that Donna has filled the space left by CK in the sense that her approach is quite similar, newsletters, affiliate links, an effort to remain unbiased, etc.

Then we had some other reviewers like DuyDuy (duyduyfx.blogspot.com) who did not like to write English prose very much but did want to test expert advisors. His blog, which is still online to date, shows performance charts every now and then of the different systems evaluated by him. His approach is the simplest and utterly the most dangerous and the most transparent, he simply shows trading system results, and you decide what is worth using and what is not. The problem being mainly that this encourages the use experts which show short term profitable results which are bound to wipe accounts in the long term, something which I have talked about in a few previous posts.

In 2009 we saw the appearance of some new guys to the scene, with Casey from bestforexea.com being the most prominent. His approach to automated trading reminds me clearly of my early days with CK and reading the forex-tsd forum. Casey has always been focused on scalpers and Martingale systems and I believe that he is what I consider the questing knight of the EA reviewing community, he is attempting to find something which we have all found from experience and analysis doesnt exist but I believe that he is now starting to realize these things himself and probably we will see some interesting evolution from his part this year. Casey also did some very important contributions to the EA scene by revealing how many expert advisors were simply copy-cats of other trading systems found freely on forums.

Almost three years have passed now and I feel that we have all done our part to enrich the automated trading community with whatever approach we think is best. Donna continues to test commercial expert advisors as Duyduy and Casey while I have decided to go into a different direction in which knowledge and understanding are primordial for success. I think that they will all realize in time that commercial trading systems are not the answer (mainly because one thing is to develop an EA to sell and another to develop an EA to trade) and they will take whatever path they think is best to sort this out. It is exciting to think about the future and about where we will all be in a few years. Definitely I hope that we will all still be active and working in our own ways to bring people a true solution to long term profitability in forex automated trading.

There are also some new guys, like Chris (fx-mon.blogspot.com) . I encourage them to go on and build their own knowledge regarding automated trading systems and how to use them to be profitable. Definitely it is a long and hard journey but also a rewarding one altogether. To all reviewers and traders working on automated trading, I wish you the best luck, hopefully we will all still be working on our websites and content in ten years :o)

If you would like to learn more about what I have learned in automated trading and how you too can build and design profitable automated trading systems based on sound trading tactics please consider buying my ebook on automated trading or joining Asirikuy to receive all ebook purchase benefits, weekly updates, check the live accounts I am running with several expert advisors and get in the road towards long term success in the forex market using automated trading systems. I hope you enjoyed the article !
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The PID SP4 SP5 expert advisor a review Why I never bought this ea

A small while ago there was a lot of hype about this new expert advisor called P.I.D SP4. People were getting mass returns on this expert advisor and so many more people began to converge on this ea and start to trade their capital using the expert.

I have to say, I warned them ! Expert advisors that offer mass returns on some months are very or more exactly extremely prone to lose all their money and even more. As I have said on an earlier post, in my experience, profitable consistent expert advisors seem to have at least a 30-40% draw down of every 10% consistent profit they get on the account. This is simply the balance demanded by the market and the reason why top fund managers almost never get more than 20% profits a year, they are extremely conservative because they know the inherent risk that comes with high profitability.

I never traded P.I.D myself but saw it trading on many friends accounts. The results were just like I expected, this correlation based ea found a point of divergence and the whole account got wiped out. Then, a second version, P.I.D SP5 was released, which although promised to be much more stable than the ea before it, wiped the entire authors demo account less than a month after its release. I dont think the author realized how dangerous and prone to catastrophe his strategy is by design and I dont think he purposefully deceived people into buying something he knew would fail. I think this was just a consequence of a lack of understanding of what the market demands for what the market gives. A consequence of trying to find a holy grail. If you would like to read more about profitable expert advisor, how to find them, etc, please buy my automated trading ebook or subscribe to my weekly newsletter were I analyze current experts I am testing each week (you also get investor access to live and demo accounts).
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My Turtle Trading EA First Profitable Results !

After doing the first preliminary backtests and realizing that the system failed to generate profits from 2000 to 2009, I decided to take a good look at my programming and check the logic to see if I had any substantial errors that could be affecting the experts trading. After examining the expert for about an hour I realized that I had a problem with the closing logic which was partially closing positions. The ea was closing with lot sizes equal to the atr calculated values, not the values the orders were orginally opened with, so order management was a little bit of a mess.

After correcting this and other less important issues I finally came up with an expert advisor that truly trades the turtle system 2 accurately. As I expected, results are now profitable for trading since 2000 to 2009. The expert is also profitable amongst several currency pairs, including the four majors.

Backtesting reveals that this system behaves exactly as I had supposed it did. We have periods of moderate but extensive loses and then we have very large, trend catching trades that consitute most of our profits. In fact, most of this profitable trades are many times larger than the average losing trade . Trying with different exit and breakout day parameters reveals that the turtles nailed it just right. This expert will not make anyone rich overnight, with the EUR/USD (first graph), you could expect to triple your capital once every 10 years while it would take you this much time to double your capital on the GBP/USD (second graph). If you want a system that has worked for the past 40 years and that can give you a long term, stable profit, then this is a system for you.
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As you can see on the backtesting images, this expert advisor is a slow, steady, sure money maker, based on the turtle system 2. This expert also backtests with a high consistency because it trades only on very large periods of time (sometimes trades remain opened for several months). You can get it by simply subscribing to my newsletter (corrected ea has already been uploaded to the ftp for subscribers), buying me a cup of coffee or buying my automated trading ebook.

If you would like to learn more about other free and commercial expert advisors please consider buying my ebook on automated trading or subscribing to my weekly newsletter to receive updates and check the live and demo accounts I am running with several expert advisors. I hope you enjoyed the article !
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Gods Gift EA 2 months finally A loss !

First of all let me apologize for the diminished amount of posts I have published for the past month. I have been very busy with other projects so I havent taken much time to write articles, on the other hand, I dont have many experts to review as I currently have only 2 in forward testing.

Now to the Gods Gift expert advisor results... I have to say, I like this expert advisor a little bit more every day that I see it trade. It caught twelve profitable trades in a row, over a little bit less than two months. It has shown great accuracy with its trades, only risking a moderate amount of pips (70) on each trade.

The ea attained its first loss yesterday when it hit a stoploss on the GBP/USD after taking a dramatically wrong sell order just before 5 consecutive positive hours for the pound. I have to say, I am in part relieved by the expert starting to take some loses, I really want to see if the expert can live up to its back testing results and provide a maximum draw down smaller than 15%. Currently, maximum draw down is 3.9%.

Well, I will review this expert again the following month when I hope we will have a better idea on the amount of draw down. If it exceeds 15% I will stop the expert advisor, if it does not, I will continue forward testing it until it does or until we have 2 years of forward testing. Best luck to you all on your trading !
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