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SPREAD BETTING Technical analysis on the Calendar Spread

             Investing in the Forex market and the stock markets, investors long, medium and short term make their investment decisions on the basis of two main factors. They suggest either fundamental analysis or technical analysis. Some traders use a combination of these two methods, which is obviously justified. The choice of investment method  depends on of many factors and it is a topic for an entirely separate post. Investing on calendar spreads traders turn their attention chiefly to factor that in many ways is not that important in the investment in those markets .
         
           Technical analysis on spreads is less important due to the relatively low volatility spread markets. In the Forex market or the stock market instruments during the day sometimes change their prices by 100 pips a day. Therefore, it is important to technical analysis to capture potential turning points. Market spreads are composed of two outright price difference on the same instrument but with different maturities. For this reason, the volatility of these markets is generally very limited and could be divided into two markets moving pips a day, three to eight pips and eight to thirty pips per day.
         
           With that information, you can see that technical analysis is not so relevant. Prices simply changing very slowly and very often made ​​once the analysis is valid for quite some time. It is worth to analyze chart and know what is the sentiment of the market.

          Despite many different variables that differ outright charts and the spread charts it should be emphasized that techniczal analysis works both on outrights and spreads.
 
     

       To illustrate to intercede two graphs showing the two markets with different volatility calculated. The first graph shows that technical analysis is not necessary. Chart moves sideways, no major changes to explain the technical analysis. The market is played  bid / offer and the order will be made in about three latter stages.

                                       
                                          Photo 1. Low market volatility


     The second figure shows a clear variation. Here, technical analysis is the most reasonable. And the trend is clearly correct. Speculation on such a volatile market requires technical analysis - despite the fact that it is spread, the graph showing the difference in prices.


                                          Photo 2. High market volatility




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SPREAD BETTING Fundamental analysis on the Calendar Spread

      On the outrights (ie the valuation of specific financial instruments) fundamental analysis is very important. Statistically, more traders use fundamental analysis to invest in the stock and bond markets. The Forex market is mainly used technical analysis. On the currency markets can be used high levels of leverage and therefore with little change course, the profits (or losses) for the trader may be significant. For the transactions in the forex market are often short-term. Fundamental analysis, therefore, the short-term investment decisions, has little effect. When making long-term investment decisions in the Forex market and the stock market, fundamental analysis can be crucial. Why is this happening? Answer can be simply recognized shortly. If the data is good, stocks go up, if the bad - stocks go down. Therefore trader operating on outrights can predict the future trend using fundamental analysis. On the calendar spreads situation is slightly different .
   
        Spread (as discussed in previous posts) is composed of two outrights where one is sold and bought another. For this reason, it is difficult to assess the future price movements of spreads on fundamental analysis. If the fundamentals are good to spread will not necessarily be followed up (or down). It all depends on how the two outrights (on the same instrument, eg oil ) will behave with each other. If the trader intends to open long positions in fundamentals should look for correlations with outrights. You can find both positive and negative correlations. There are the markets where spread price is going in the same direction as the price of outright. Sometimes the price of outright grow and spread falls and vice versa. Depending on the market correlations are different. If you have important fundamental data to a market on calendar spreads can be noted another important relationship .
         In this situation, there is usually very desirable on spreads markets -  increased liquidity. If spread have low volatility (2 - 3 pips) and high liquidity related with fundamental data -  in the day you can to turn the instrument a dozen or over a dozen times a day.
Following to the strategy that with such a small rang Trader invests a high lots - this is an opportunity to earn large amount of money.
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