Forex Trading Systems The ultimate forex edge an Unbiased Review

As you know, I regularly review automated trading systems for the forex market but I have recently been asked by a website reader to review the ultimate forex edge trading system. Of course, as my website is called "reviewing everything forex" I am also interested in the review of regular trading systems and signal services so I decided to give this a go and review the ultimate forex edge trading system.

The forex ultimate edge website seemed to be just another cheesy marketing website that attempts to bond with the websites visitor by appealing to his likely current situation. The author first describes how he was broke and desperate (as many are likely to be when entering the website) and then he says that he saw the light and started to profit from forex trading. The story of course, has just no back to it, the trader does not mention the actual name of the company that allegedly gave him the chance to trade a 10 million dollar account or any information on any managed account or account he traded before or after this.

As a matter of fact, this is the most important thing. We have this guy telling us he can walk the walk and trade the forex market profitably but where is the proof ? Where are his account statements with all the profits he has been able to make with his trading system ? If anyone was going to learn a trading system from someone they would want him to show his trading statements right away. Why should you be different ? If he is claiming he can do something then he shouldnt have any hard time proving it if it is actually true. Now if it is, Ill be glad to take a look at the new evidence and redo this review to reflect that, but up until now, its just bunch of made up graphs and blablabla anyone can talk.

Being an account manager or selling a trading system is not supposed to be about being able to talk BS but it is supposed to be about being able to convince people through evidence and logic that your system is able to do something good with their money. Of course, up until now, this website is just a bunch of non sense which I would never consider worth buying.

If you would like to learn about automated trading systems and how there is the possibility to trade profitably with automated trading with real profit and draw down expectations please consider buying my ebook on automated trading or subscribing to my weekly newsletter to receive updates and check the live and demo accounts I am running with several expert advisors. I hope you enjoyed this article !

Diposting oleh Unknown 11.15 0 komentar

Forex Manual Trading Systems Forex Cash Factory an Unbiased Review

A few days ago, a newsletter subscriber asked me if I could review a manual trading system called "forex cash factory". On todays post I will do an analysis about this system taking into account the evidence provided on the products website. I will also give my opinion about its usefulness and how much I think it could help manual traders become long term profitable. Finally, after doing all my analysis I will tell you if I believe this product is worth buying or testing or if it is just another product which is filled with promises but fails to deliver any realistic results.

The website starts with nothing but bold claims about the system being able to "pump" tens of thousands of dollars every week out of the market. After this we see that the forex cash factory website is nothing more than a few thousands words of a guy telling us to buy something just because it can make us rich. The webpage is definitely geared towards people who are new to the forex market and are definitely looking for a way to get money quickly.

The author of the forex cash factory fails to give many important descriptions about his system. There is absolutely no mention of the profit or the risk targets of the system, no mention of the money management used when trading, no mention of the characteristics of the strategy, etc. Why would anyone buy a trading system they know nothing about ? The guy fails to explain if his system relies on scalping, swing trading, long term trading, etc. There is simply almost no information abou tthe actual trading system included on the website. The author could have written the webpage without any product because product description is extremely limited.

There is also absolutely no evidence about the profitability of the system or its ability to even produce one USD on the forex market. The thing I find the strangest is that the guy does mention on his website that the system WAS actually tested on a real account for three years before selling it. Why in the world doesnt this guy show this evidence of profitability if it does exist in reality ? Come on ! Who would refrain from posting such evidence if it is obvious that it would increase sales enormously ? No one would ! The fact remains that until the evidence is not posted, it may as well not exist, there is no reason to believe it does.

Then what about all those testimonials ? I can also sit down and makeup whatever testimonial I want, testimonials do not mean anything, specially when a "testimonial" is just a bunch of text there. All the testimonials could have been written by the author, there is no doubt about that. What you should ask for when looking for a trading system, either manual or automated, is not simply a 2000 long sales page telling you how good your life will be after you make the purchase but solid evidence showing that the system has been profitable in the past and has a high like hood of remaining profitable in the future. Why is this evidence never shown for manual trading systems ? Well, mainly because the systems usually only work for one thing, bringing the author sales profits.

In the light of the total lack of even a general description of the system and the absolute lack of any performance record of the system when there is even mentioning that such a record exists (which means that the author is purposefuly hiding it or making that up) I consider the cash factory manual trading system not worth buying and testing. If you want to know more about trading system and how you too can design and trade your own long term profitable automated systems with realistic profit and risk targets please consider buying my ebook on automated trading or subscribing to my weekly newsletter to receive updates and check the live and demo accounts I am running with several expert advisors. I hope you enjoyed the article !

Diposting oleh Unknown 19.30 0 komentar

The Doubleplay Forex Expert Advisor

When I began my quest to find an expert advisor that did well in a broad variety of market conditions I was very confused by the overwhelming amount of expert advisors available. After reading and searching for reviews all across the world wide web I found what appeared to be a good and well recommended expert advisor. Hence, I bought the Doubleplay expert advisor.

The Doubleplay expert advisor is what appears to be a very solid and conservative expert advisor. It fits my trading style, having a 50 pip adjustable stop loss and also a risk management module which makes sure that I never risk more than 5% of my account on each trade.

I have been very satisfied with this ea. It has traded as promised and has delivered some profit throughout the three months I have been using it for. I have obtained about 40% profit, which hits a quiet high profit/loss ratio. Support has also been absolutely wonderful, every doubt or support question I have had has been answered promptly by Hal, who is the eas creator.

As much as I like this expert advisor, bear in mind it is NOT a way to get rich quickly. If you ask me I would say that this expert advisor is a PROFITABLE expert advisor, but I would never expect more than 10% a month in ANY case. This was proved by this ea having almost doubled my account along the beginning of October and giving more than half back just a few weeks later.

I have complete faith in Hals commitment to the Doubleplay project, with no doubts in my mind that his main goal is to be successful as we are, not to deceive his customers in anyway. Doubleplay also has a money back guarantee if you have two consecutive months of losses using the ea.

This ea is one of the few I do personally RECOMMEND with no ties whatsoever, neither as an affiliate or as a personal friend of the eas creator. This ea would fit great as a conservative addition to our ea trading package.

This expert advisor can be found here.

Diposting oleh Unknown 09.46 0 komentar

Forex Expert Advisors Forex Espionage Unbiased Review

A few days ago I received an email talking about the forex espionage expert advisor. Of course, the purpose of all these emails I get is to make me click through the affiliate links and buy the expert advisors. What I do most of the time is review the products instead so that people can know my opinion about most new expert advisors (I try to review as many as my time schedule allows me to). If you have read many of my reviews the truth is that I very rarely consider an expert advisor worth buying.

Well, I must confess that the forex espionage expert advisor is really not the exception. I can see the marketing all over it like on most commercial expert advisors out there. The website greets you with a video of a guy who obviousy treats you like you dont know a thing about forex trading or automated trading systems. The video and the website features many claims about profits, backtesting and as always the promise to free you from your 9 to 5 job.

Ok, so what is the validity of their claims ? They have many problems to start with. First, most of their claims are based on backtesting statements which we know are done with the benefit of hindsight so absolutely no validity there. They also show us some very limited "live" testing information which has no live account investor access and is truly excesively limited to pass any judgement about the expert advisor. If you are a commercial expert advisor seller or an expert advisor reviewer that lives from the affiliate links please have this in mind : dont treat your customers like their retarded !

The forex espionage expert advisors seems to be your average commercial expert advisor that aims at trading many times per day with several short term wins and incredible backtesting results but fails to work in the long term (the only thing that grows in the long term is the number of wiped accounts). The creators never mention the problems associated with backtesting and limited live testing results. They just want to convince you to use something even if there is no evidence that the system works in the long run and there is also no evidence that the live testings shown are actually real. Again, we need live accounts with investor access to believe the claims of ANY commercial expert adviosr seller.

In summary, not only do I find the forex espionage expert advisor NOT worth buying, I also consider their website misleading and offensive to the intelligence of any potential customer. Expert advisor sellers not only should show more realiable testing, they should also struggle to explain every possible mistake within the tests they are doing.

If you would like to learn more about how to evaluate and choose expert advisor as well as about other expert advisors I have traded and reviewed please consider buying my ebook on automated trading or subscribing to my weekly newsletter to receive updates and check the live and demo accounts I am running with several expert advisors. I hope you enjoyed the article !

Diposting oleh Unknown 01.31 0 komentar

A Proven Profitable Forex Expert Advisor

Ok, this is what all of you have always been looking for and probably the reason why you entered my website. You are looking for a proven, profitable expert advisor that you can trust and trade in your live account with the most minimal risk of large equity draw downs.

With all due respect : You are delusional.

Lets start with the facts. What do you mean by proven ? Someone has made money with it ? Someone has been making money with it for an x amount of time ? Many have made money ? It has made money on different brokers ? As you can see, the answer to this question is very difficult by itself. I will now make something clear to you which you may have already suspected and which may seem a little bit hard to read : There is no such thing as a proven system in the forex market and there is no such thing as a low risk expert advisor.

Yes, thats right. There is no such thing. This happens by definition, because the forex market is dynamic, ever changing and unpredictable in nature. Hence, it is what you would call a high risk market. It is high risk because (you guessed right) the risk of losing capital is very high ! And this cannot be avoided by using an automated trading system. There is no such thing as a low risk opportunity in a high risk market. If you expect to make money consistently, for years, in the forex market, using automated systems, without high risk, please choose another investment vehicle. Perhaps something less risky, like T bonds, would better fit your risk profile.

Does this mean that evaluating expert advisors is meaningless ? No. By testing expert advisors in live and demo accounts we can get an idea of how they work, under what circumstances they work, what consistent profit and expected draw downs we might get. This is because even though the forex market is unpredictable, it can be statistically studied. We cannot tell what will exactly happen, but we can estimate the probabilities and this is one of the things that tells a profitable trader apart from a failing one.

Lets say for example that certain automated trading system gets a 4% profit from 2005 to 2008 in live testing. We can look at overall market conditions and the past 60 years of market history and tell if they are likely to change, to what and what the probability of working would be if said conditions would change. Was the market in an uptrend ? Downtrend ? going sideways ? What was the volatility ? In essence, the longer an ea works, the more robust it it, that is, the more change in market conditions it can withstand. However, if market conditions were to change to something that did not happen for the last x years the ea was tested on, then it can fail.

This is were that disclaimer we have all read comes into play "past perfomance does NOT guarantee future results". Read it about a hundred times.

What is our defense against this ? Have more than one expert advisor, have a portfolio and have them on separate accounts, if all of them have been tested and are robust, when one fails, the most probable thing is that the other will not and vice versa. You need to diversify in automated trading because the systems have limited visibility, they cannot overcome big changes in market conditions due to their rather inflexible nature. Will every tested ea ever programmed have a period in which it will wipe an account ? The answer is, probably yes.

If you would be interested in learning a little bit more about my opinions, criteria and what expert advisors I have tested and consider worth trading please consider buying my ebook on automated trading or subscribing to my weekly newsletter to receive updates and check the live and demo accounts I am running with several expert advisors. I hope you enjoyed the article !

Diposting oleh Unknown 15.45 0 komentar

Forex Expert Advisors Forex Ripper an Unbiased Review

During this weeks search for new trading systems I came across the forex ripper expert advisor. On todays post I will write a review about this automated trading system focusing on the evidence provided by the author as well as the claims made on the website. I am going to analyze all the information and then give you my unbiased, honest opinion about this experts long term profitability and if it is or it is not worth buying and testing.

Wow, I have to say that I have read many made up stories in my life but the story given by the author of forex ripper really has a lot of imagination going on. It has the classic "I was ruined" with an "I am a pro" twist coupled with the appearance of this mysterious "ripper" guy from wall street who could "magically" turn a trading system into an ATM. Of course, the story puts up a lot of information which makes us doubt its truthfulness and even more, it makes us doubt the origins and actual worthiness of the trading system.

Why ? Mainly because the author of forex ripper does say that they were able to use the system successfully but no prove is given of live trading performance. This is another guy thinking that the people who buy trading systems are stupid. This person shows some pictures of trades which for all we know could have been hand picked and executed on a demo account with no additional information of profitability. I would ask this person, if the story is actually true, to show us ALL the live statements with investor access of the trading accounts he had when he started running the EA which should be months ago by now. The author of forex ripper definitely talks a lot but he shows no evidence to truly backup the claims made.

What do we have then ? We have a website with a story of a guy claiming a trading system is the best ever made (for a change !) with some partially blurred pictures of trading statements with no third party verified live statements or simulations to hint us about the long term performance or trading tactics of this system. From what I see I would guess that the author of forex ripper is just a programmer who came up with an expert advisor, then made a marketing pitch for it and put it up with a bunch of blurred pictures of hand-picked trades from a demo account to show "proof" of profitability.

This trading system is definitely miles away from proving profitability and even more, thousands of miles away from proving that the system has the slightest likehood of being long term profitable. If the author uploads the live statements (with investor access) of the accounts the EA has been trading in (according to the story) and also gives us 10 year backtests with a period in common with the live testing to check for back/live testing consistency, then and only then, will I redo this review to reflect this additional information. Meanwhile, this website is NOTHING but HYPE and I therefore consider this trading system NOT worth buying or testing.

If you would like to learn more about the automated trading systems I have developed and how knowledge and hard work are the key to long term profitability in automated trading please consider buying my ebook on automated trading or joining Asirikuy to receive all ebook purchase benefits, weekly updates, check the live accounts I am running with several expert advisors and get in the road towards long term success in the forex market using automated trading systems. I hope you enjoyed the article !

Diposting oleh Unknown 06.30 0 komentar

Forex Expert Advisors Forex Illusion an Unbiased Review

Going on with my review of recently released automated trading systems today I will be analyzing the Forex Illusion trading system. This expert advisor promises you will "beat the dealer" and achieve long term profitability in the forex market even if you dont have any previous forex trading experience or if you have "battled with forex" for a long time. On the following paragraphs I will go through this trading systems website, I will talk about the evidence provided by the author and I will tell you if this evidence is reliable enough to backup the claims of profitability made by the author. After doing this analysis and looking at the systems trading tactics I will then tell you my opinion about whether or not this trading system is worth buying and testing.

The Forex Illusions system website is actually quite odd since it lacks any of the usual "letter type" structure the general expert advisor selling websites have. The only thing you see when you access the website is a video that tells you the general "underdog story" and shows you the evidence of profitability available and the claims made by the author. The video is obviously targeted at forex newbies, as the author tries to sympathize with them, telling a story of how he "bit the brokers" and achieved millions of dollars in forex trading. The story tells us how the guy went from being a mail man to a millionaire.

Truth be told, this trading system just falls short on almost every aspect. The evidence of "live trading" that the author shows is nothing but a visual backtest of a period of just a few months which tells us absolutely nothing about this trading system. It is amazing that anyone tries to sell a trading system on such a small and just worthless piece of evidence. What does a few minutes of visual backtesting tell us ? Nothing ! Where are the full 10 year backtesting statements showing us the long term profit and draw down targets ? Where are the LIVE investor access verified accounts ? where is REAL proof of profitability ?

Again, another person attempts to exploit the new trader by making up a story, doing a visual backtesting of a strategy and pretending to have turned into a forex millionaire. If half of this guys story was actually true, he would have showed a LOT more evidence. This is an obvious lie, if all of this was true you would be looking at the guys personal trading statements or you would already have a live trading account with at least a few months of trading showing you investor-access verified results.

This is just a bold attempt to sell you something that is worthless with absolutely no reliable evidence of long term profitability through a story you might empathize with. I think it is pathetic and I think that anyone who has any respect for the intelligence of their customers would have made the effort to open up live accounts, give investor access information and run 10 year backtests. Because of the incredible lack of evidence I consider this expert advisor absolutely NOT worth buying or testing.

If you would like to learn more about automated trading and how you can develop your own likely long term profitable systems with sound and realistic profit and risk targets please consider buying my ebook on automated trading or joining Asirikuy to receive all ebook purchase benefits, weekly updates, check the live accounts I am running with several expert advisors and get in the road towards long term success in the forex market using automated trading systems. I hope you enjoyed the article !

Diposting oleh Unknown 20.45 0 komentar

FOREX BUSINESS

FOREX BUSINESS

BUSINESS FOREX Foreign Exchange Business is engaged in buying and selling of currencies, because foreign exchange business including an easy way to money that without outside capital. Because the exchange rate of a country against another country is always changing every second, we may buy or sell anytime in our money in BUSINESS itu.Nah FOREX market of buying and selling that we have a big advantage especially now there are no Foreign Exchange Business Exit Modal.Cukup List 5 Dollar Capital yours.

The movement of currency exchange rates continued to move and change at any time, no matter the day or night, no matter how clear the number of players Foreign Currency Business has never stopped.
The movement of the exchange value of the currency of a country against another countrys currency value moves online Real Time. Buying and selling currencies that aims to make a profit, eg buy rupiah with dollars or buy a dollar with the amount of any time in house prices and the price of money would change too. With the goal of price movements or changes in the value of our currency benefited as much as possible no matter how we want. Thats the simple description of this forex business. To further explore the Business Forex learned one by one article caramainvalas.com

Soon Business Register and Get Learning Forex Currency Trade with caramainvalas.com get a bonus equal to 5 dollars in capital.

Different Business with Money Changer Valas

Same but different Forex Trade was thin trading with the currency trading on margin (leverage) and two directions. Money Changer and no leverage and can not be both ways. Meaning: Business Forex more modern and easier while Money Changer traditional and more difficult to take advantage.

What Is Margin Trading and Sales and Purchase Two-Way

 Ntar deh first learning the other

Who Figure & Jawara Forex

Larry William (With capitalize $ 10,000 within 1 year just managed to generate a total profit of $ 1 million (around Rp 10 M) in the forex world race in a few years ago. And that is real money, real money is not a demo). George Soros (one of one of the 100 richest people in the world), obtained a wealth of Forex Trading. With his ability to pursue Forex Business.

Richard Dennis (At age 25 years) have become millionaires. Educate 13 students with the rules of turtles (Turtles rule) and 13 students into a Powerful Trader by applying the Rich Trading Strategy.

If the many who became rich and successful with your Forex business can also be right? Everything has a chance to be rich

How FOREX it BUSINESS?

His name also BUSINESS yes no goods no money .. Which is often traded on Foreign Exchange Business is 4 (Pair) majority of currency pairs namely:

GBP / USD = (Pounds Sterling) to (U.S. Dollar). That is (Pounds Sterling) are as goods, and (U.S. Dollar) are as money (purchasing tool).

Example:

1. GBP / USD = 1.5162 means: 1 pound sterling bought for 1.5162 U.S. dollars

2. EUR / USD = 1.3505 means: 1 Euro bought with a price of 1.3505 U.S. Dollar

3. USD / JPY = 90.35 (U.S. dollars) as of goods, and (Japanese Yen) For Money (purchasing tool).

   it means: 1 U.S. dollar bought 90.35 price

4. USD / CHF = 1.1450 means: 1 U.S. dollar bought 1.1450 Swiss franc price

How the hell CAN PROFIT FROM FOREX BUSINESS?

His name FOREX BUSINESS:

Buy when the goods are cheap (low value) and sold when the price of expensive goods (high value). The term took the position of Buy or Long and when the profit (price rise) in the lid: Close

FOREX BUSINESS also able to benefit by:

Sell ​​when the price of expensive goods (high value) and bought at cheap prices (low value). The term took the position of Sell or Short and when the profit (price drop) at the close: close.

Therefore It is called Forex Business can profit by buying and selling 2-way ... (nah question no. 3 is already answered in part)

Example:

GBP / USD: 1.4500 buy position-taking at the time

GBP / USD: 1.4550 close on profit taking

means to obtain the difference (1.4550 - 1.4500) = 50 Pip

(Pip = smallest unit of currency)

With 50 Pip my lucky number?

If you take 1 lot: the 1 pip = worth 10 Dollars

If you take 2 lots: the 1 pip = worth 20 Dollars

If you take 3 lots: the 1 pip = $ 30 Dollars

Buy my example with a value of 1 Lot: So Lucky me:

50 Pip x 10 Dollars = 5000 Dollars

What the heck LOT OF UNDERSTANDING

Lot / Unit: Unit standard contract in Forex Trading

Conversion of lots and units:

1 Lot = 100,000 units (1 Pip = U.S. $ 10)

2 Lot = 200,000 units (1 Pip = U.S. $ 20)

3 Lot = 300,000 units (1 Pip = U.S. $ 30)

HOW DO I DETERMINE THE POSITION IN ORDER TO BUY OR SELL PROFIT

By Analyzing the Market (Market). There are 2 Technical Analysis:

Fundamental Analysis: Predicting Currency price movements based on economic, social, politics of a country. Etc.. Fundamental analysis is a market mover (Price currency)

Technical Analysis: Predicting Currency price movements based on past data (Historical) with mathematical calculations. Technical analysis is a guide movement (the price of currency).

Fundamental Analysis

Example: You hear the news that the unemployment rate in Britain rose. Since many companies went bankrupt ... Consequently Currency GBP (Pound) weakened.

Before there was news:

GBP / USD: 1.5500 (1 pound = 1.5500 USD)

After the news:

GBP / USD: 1.4500 (1 pound sterling = 1.4500 USD)

When you remove the information in the news soon take a position "Sell" or "Short" and when the price goes down you get ready to take profits ... Close

On the contrary: You heard the news that in America a lot of bad debts owed housing ... many people can not pay ... as a result (U.S. Dollar) weakened

Before there was news:

GBP / USD: 1.4500 (1 pound = 1.4500 USD)

After the news:

GBP / USD: 1.6500 (1 pound = 1.6500 USD)

When news broke that the information released you immediately take a position "buy" or "Long" and when the price moves up you get ready to take profits ... Close

Where Can I Get Fundamental News

You can read the fundamental news each currency, but if you want speak Indonesian and have been reviewed by experts and analysts Forex .. Open it in www.financeroll.com Indonesia which is the best forex portal.

Technical Analysis

Technical analysis using indicators. There are two general types of indicators:

1. Trend Indicators (indicating direction of the trend) Example: Moving Average, Parabolic Sar, etc..

2. Oskilator indicator (shown already oversold / overbought and over-Bought / over sell) If the market is already saturated with a sell-off sell the start time buying buy If the market is already saturated denan buying buy so from now buying sell. Example: relative Strength Index, Williams,% / R, oscillators, etc..

Jump To More Clearly ... Main practice on Forex Trading Forex "Marketiva". First Install Marketiva Trading Platform on your computer and online internet .. New we can start trading ... ..

Moreover, What You Need to Know For Beginners Forex Trader

Margin Trading System = Leverage Margin Once we have an account and transfer funds into our account then we have a margin account.Setiap time to take a position either buy (buy) or sell (sell) takes a certain amount of funds taken from the margin account as collateral (initial margin requirement .) Initial margin account depending on currency pairs, leverage is selected and the number of lots are taken.

Example 1:

Leverage 100: 1 or 1 / 100 x 100 = 1% Lot / Unit: 10,000

Buy position (long) EUR / USD 1.3340. Then the margin required is: 10,000 x 1.3340 x 1% = $ 133.4

Example 2: Leverage 200: 1 or 1 / 200 * 100 = 0.5% Lot / Unit: 10,000

Buy position (long) EUR / USD 1.3340. Then the margin required is: 10,000 x 1.3340 x 0.5% = $ $ 66.7

Example 3:

Leverage 500: 1 or 1 / 500 * 100 = 0.2% Lot / Unit: 10,000

Buy position (long) EUR / USD 1.3340. Then the margin required is: 10,000 x 1.3340 x 0.5% = $ 26.68 USD

Well no. 3 It is the responsibility of all ... if you do not understand as well .. Gak pa .. Pa. .. While trading .. Lama2 also understand ...

Understanding of margin trading for the management of trading risk management.

Moreover, What You Need to Know For Beginner Traders:

Determine How Dare You Take The Risk Capital Trading Forex From You ... .. 10%, 20%, 30% Decide How You Want To Gain Take Every time you are trading ... 5 Pip / Day, 10 Pip / Day, 15 Pip / day, 20 Pip / Day, 30 Pip / Day. 50 Pip / Day.

We describe about Forex Business, hopefully you already understand a little about this Forex Business. To better understand we recommend Learn Forex with practice. The initial capital provided $ 5 free. Please Tried Trade Forex from now ...

Diposting oleh Unknown 19.01 0 komentar

Forex Expert Advisors Black Swan an Unbiased Review

Today I am going to fulfill another review request and talk to you a little bit about a forex automated trading system called black swan. Todays post will focus on the review of this expert advisor mainly by evaluating the evidence provided on the website and the claims made by the authors. By analysing the experts statements and the information provided I will also tell you my opinion about the long term profitability of this trading system and whether or not I it worth buying or not.

By first looking at the website, you will see that the black swan expert advisor seems to offer a novel approach to automated trading by offering its customers a "web bot" technology which is supposed to search on the internet data from many sources to make accurate trading decisions. The people at forex black swan claim that with this technology you will be able to achieve very large profits which will give you "financial freedom" and the ability have the life style you "always wanted".

Is there any merit in the experts techniques ? Is there anything true about this "web bot" technology ? There are several things I do not understand. If the EA uses a web bot system which dynamically searches the internet then how did they manage to do the backtest from Jan to Nov 2009, how did the webot technology "backtest" on the metatrader 4 strategy tester ? this just does not add up. If the expert really used such an innovative technology it is very likely that it could only be evaluated by live testing. But well, regardless of the fact that this technology does or does not exist, what does the backtest tell us ?

The backtest shown on the black swan website has many inherent problems. To start, the period is very small. Why didnt they do backtests from 2000 to 2009 ? Why is the backtest period limited to 2009 ? This are all questions which cannot be easily answered since doing a longer backtest is just easy to do. There is also the problem that the EA takes a small TP, below 20 pips, which means that interpolation errors in the backtest are likely to be a VERY significant portion of profitability, add to that the fact that the EA uses an almost 10:1 risk to reward ratio (you need to win one time for every ten you lose) and a progressive money management system and you arrive to a system which uses very unsound trading techniques with very questionable results.

My opinion from this backtest is that results are definitely going to be very different in live testing. Probably the loses will be far greater than in the backtest and the progressive money management will grow large holes into the account, to the point of a wipeout. Systems with progressive money management (incrementing lot sizes on loses) will ALWAYS wipe accounts, it is not a matter of if, it is simply a matter of when.

Another important matter is the absence of live testing on the black swan website. Why do this people fail to show live trading results if their system is so accurate ? Why didnt they take the time to put up a few live micro accounts to show us the performance of their system under real market conditions under several brokers ? The number of unanswered questions is simply great and there is no good reason why we should put our money where the creators themselves would not.

The complete lack of live testing evidence as well as the lack of any proof of back/live testing consistency, the absence of a 10 year long backtest and the use of progressive money management are the reason why I consider the black swan trading system NOT worth buying or testing. If you however would like to learn more about system that achieve long term profitability and how you can start your profitable venture in forex trading with realistic profit and risk targets please consider buying my ebook on automated trading or subscribing to my weekly newsletter to receive updates and check the live and demo accounts I am running with several expert advisors. I hope you enjoyed the article !

Diposting oleh Unknown 02.00 0 komentar

Forex Expert Advisors Forex Secret Agent an Unbiased Review

Today another expert advisor sees the light and with it another one of my reviews comes out. Within this post I will be talking to you about the recently released Forex Secret Agent trading system. I will talk about the evidence provided by the author and whether or not this evidence backs up the authors claims, I will also talk about the reliability of the evidence and overall, I will give you my opinion about whether or not this trading system will be able to achieve long term profitability. In the end, I will also give you my opinion of whether or not this expert advisor is worth buying and testing. Is the Forex Secret Agent the James Bond of Forex systems ? Can it prove it can deliver massive profits ? Keep reading and find out !

I have to say that the tactic used to sell the Forex Secret Agent seems to be revolutionary in the sense that they are not advertizing the system as an fully automated system but as an "informative" tool which tells people when to enter and when to exit trades. I am very confused by this concept since it seems to me that trading a fully automated system would be much more convenient than having to manually confirm or enter trades when the system signals them.

Of course, the objective would be for the trader to actually confirm that the trade is sound and worth taking but wouldnt this mean that the trader is able to trade for him/herself and doesnt need the system ? If a person is able to determine when it is or it is not worth getting into the market then why would such a person need a signaling system ? If a person doesnt know and wants to follow signals then what criteria does this person have to confirm or deny trades ? In the end I think that the approach doesnt make a lot of sense and I believe that a fully automated system has more relevance when addressing a crowd that doesnt know how to trade but wants to trade from signals. Making the EA request confirmation on every trade or merely provide the information to enter trades seems like an inconvenience for most people.

It is worth noting however that a section of some backtesting results is shown later on the website pointing out that the system is able to trade in a fully automated fashion (at least it would seem from this). Then we have the usual hand-picked results taken from the backtests portrayed as actually live executed results, a very misleading and dishonest tactics which talks about the ethics of the Forex Secret Agents seller. We can also see that the backtesting statements - which are advertized to turn 5 into 200K in a year- have a VERY unfavorable 10:1 risk to reward ratio and a very small average TP meaning that backtests of this system are probably worthless and absolutely OVER estimate profitability. There is also a complete absence of 10 year backtests, something which also makes us doubt the long term profitability of the system although a system with such trading tactic doesnt probably offer reliable backtests anyway.

Then we have also the COMPLETE absence of any investor-access verified live trading results, showing us that the author of this system is not willing to risk his own money trading the Forex Secret Agent. If the author had actually traded the system - as he says he has - then it would be very simple to add that account to myfxbook and show us investor-access verified results. Why arent these results shown ? Because simply the author doesnt believe in his system and probably has never traded it, pointing out that it is much easier to make money in forex selling a system than from trading it.

Overall, the Forex Secret Agent is another over-hyped system with a complete absence of any reliable evidence. The backtesting evidence shown is not validated by live trading results and - more importantly - no verified live testing results are shown. The Forex Secret Agent is just a piece of software with no evidence of profitability and an author unwilling to test the system on his own live accounts. Remember that the burden of proof is on the author, NOT on your live accounts so if anyone should blindly risk their money it definitely shouldnt be you. For all the above reasons, I consider this trading system absolutely NOT worth buying or testing. The author should show at least a 10 year backtest coupled with a 6 month investor-verified live test and a backtest of this same period if he wants me to redo this review.

If you would like to learn more about the world of automated trading and how you can trade with a high like hood of achieving long term success using expert advisors please consider buying my ebook on automated trading or joining Asirikuy to receive all ebook purchase benefits, weekly updates, check the live accounts I am running with several expert advisors and get in the road towards long term success in the forex market using automated trading systems. I hope you enjoyed the article !

Diposting oleh Unknown 17.30 0 komentar

Forex Expert Advisors Forex Robovore an Unbiased Review

Yesterday an Asirikuy member sent me an email requesting my opinion about a new automated trading system called Forex Robovore. This trading system is interesting since it seems to follow a different line of thought when compared to most of the other automated trading systems available on the internet. On todays review I will focus on the claims made by the author on the Forex Robovores website as well as the validity and support the evidence on the website gives to said claims. In the end I will be able to tell you if what the creator says about the system is supported by the evidence given or if it is simply not the case. With this evidence in mind I will also be able to give you my opinion about the long term profitability of this trading system and whether or not it is worth buying and testing.

First of all, it is clear that the Forex Robovore trading system has a different philosphy when compared with the other systems available online. The Forex Robovore system aims to have a very favorable risk to reward ratio of 1:2 to 1:4, giving us the impression that it was designed to take advantage of trend following moves. The trading systems sale page even includes a report which tells you why expert advisor scalpers are bound to fail in the long run in forex trading. I must say that I appreciate the fact that the creator of Forex Robovore is taking the time to explain that his system uses a different logic, it is also worth noting that the expert uses sound risk management in the sense that only a small percentage of capital is risked per trade.

However these are just words. The important thing is to know if the creator of the Forex Robovore trading system is able to show evidence to substantiate his claims. This is when we start to see the many holes in the evidence provided and how this trading system does not stand in a better place than most of the "other expert advisors" it so strongly talks about. First of all, we find that there are NO ten year backtesting results, showing us that the creator fails to carry out this readily available and easy to perform simulations. On the other hand, the creator says that backtesting can be done by downloading data from the metaquotes server. Therefore it is obvious that the author knows that these backtests can be carried out but yet FAILS to show these backtests on his website. Why ? The most common reason for this is the LACK of long term profitability of the trading system, the lack of profitable 10 year simulations.

Moreover, unverified live testing results of about 4 months are shown as evidence of profitability. I would have to say that four months are a rather small period of time to show as the only available evidence. It is also worth noting that the live results are UNVERIFIED and can be forged. It is VITAL to have live testing results which are confirmed by INVESTOR ACCESS to the trading account. The author says on the FAQ that you can tell a real live test by the configuration of the html file but this is WRONG, this CAN BE FORGED and investor access is the ONLY way to verify that a live trading record is REAL. Why isnt investor access given ? Are accounts not live but demo accounts ? Have the results been manipulated ? I see no other reason why an EA creator would refuse to post results on myfxbook which can independently and reliably verify investor access and trading privileges.

Overall it is sad to say that although the intentions of the Forex Robovore system creator seem to be to create a system with sound money management and trading strategies the trading system is not able to walk the walk. It seems that the website merely uses this "difference" with other trading systems as a marketing pitch without any evidence of the system truly being long term profitable. Because of the complete lack of 10 year backtests and the absence of verification of the live trading results I have to say that the Forex Robovore trading system is NOT able to backup its claims and it is therefore NOT worth buying or testing. If the creator of this trading system provides 10 year backtests with live/back testing consistency tests with the current period of live testing, as well as live account verification through investor access, I will be more than happy to redo this review.

If you would like to know more about what I have learned about automated trading systems and how you too can design and develop trading systems to trade profitably in the forex market please consider buying my ebook on automated trading or joining Asirikuy to receive all ebook purchase benefits, weekly updates, check the live accounts I am running with several expert advisors and get in the road towards long term success in the forex market using automated trading systems. I hope you enjoyed the article !

Diposting oleh Unknown 07.46 0 komentar

Forex Trading and Gambling One and the Same

I often find it curious that people tend to react very negatively when forex trading is compared to gambling. Every time I talk to a proffesional trader about this matter we end up discussing how only "new traders" gamble and proffesionals do not gamble but "trade". What is so different between forex trading and gambling ? Through the following few paragraphs I will tell you my views on the subject and why I believe that forex trading is a form of gambling. I will also tell you how they are different and what the difference between investing in forex and going to Vegas really is. At the end of this article I hope you will understand my points of view and why forex cannot be considered anything but a type of gambling.

So what is gambling anyway ? Gambling is simply the act of betting on the outcome of a given event without any true certainty about its result. Sounds familiar ? Forex trading is merely the betting of a certain amount of money on the outcome of price movement without any absolute knowledge of where price will head. Therefore, in accordance to the definition of gambling, forex trading and any other form of speculative investing is merely gambling. But if it is gambling by definition then why do proffesional traders find this comparison offensive ?

The problem arises because people often relate gambling with casinos and in casinos you are gambling on a game which has an outcome which will be statistically unfavorable to you in the long term. Casinos make money because they are NOT gambling, they know that the outcome of a large sample of events will always be in favor of the house. In practice, a player in a casino floor may feel like he or she is "gambling" (which is true for small samples which can effectively be totally random) but statistics do favor the casinos within a large number of events. What this means is that if someone plays in a casino for an infinite period of time, the casino will end up with all the money. The casino always wins since it has a statistical edge on all the games played.

Many traders are offended by the comparison because they believe that people are telling them that they trade like they would play in a casino, to inevitably lose money in the long run, which is why new traders are so often compared with casino floor players.

In reality, forex trading is gambling, but it is a "game" in which the odds are not set against you in a mandatory way. Forex trading resembles sports betting a lot more. In sports, a bet is made for a time with a lot of information which can be used to determine the winner with statistical significance. For example, if a horse has won the past 10 races, then it is bound to also win the next rase. Betting for this horse will give you a statistically higher chance of winning than betting against other horses. However, the outcome is never known so it might happen that your horse loses. However, within a large given number of events, you can be an overall winner if you know enough about the facts that affect the outcome of the events.

Forex trading is very similar, if you know enough about the facts which determine the outcome of price movements then you can statistically profit from the market even though you may lose in several events due to the true outcome of any event being unknown. The more educated gamblers make money while the less educated gamblers which have no capacity to determine the probabilities of certain price movements against others end up losing their money. Since every dollar is sold for every dollar bought, the best gamblers get in and out with money when the others get in and out to give their money.

So in the end the matter is pretty simple. If you trade like you would gamble in Vegas, without any edge, you will lose, however if you gamble with intelligence and with analysis over the outcome of events you will, in the end, become a profitable trader.

If you would like to learn more about the systems I use to trade in the forex market for a living and how you too can design and trade your own automated long term profitable systems please consider buying my ebook on automated trading or joining Asirikuy to receive all ebook purchase benefits, weekly updates, check the live accounts I am running with several expert advisors and get in the road towards long term success in the forex market using automated trading systems. I hope you enjoyed the article !

Diposting oleh Unknown 07.47 0 komentar

Forex Expert Advisors Forex Cyclone an unbiased review

As for the past two weeks, today Ill continue to focus on the review of another automated trading system. Todays post will be dedicated to the review of the forex cyclone expert advisor which was suggested to me by a customer who had previously purchased my automated trading ebook. As always, this review is written based on the evidence provided by the expert advisor creator and is no way biased as I get no reward of any kind for giving the EA either positive or negative feedback.

The website starts with a very bold claim from the authors saying he has "reeled in 986,928.17" USD from the forex market. Now, this guy seriously has to be jocking. I am pretty impressed as how naive and ignorant this expert advisor sellers think their customers really are to put such bold claims first thing in a webpage and thinking theyll just swallow the whole thing. The sellers makes this claims based in the fact that he has a year long backtesting results that shows these results. This is definitely not a valid proof on income ! This guy is actually lying to everybodys face as he did not "reel in" all those profits, he just happened to have a backtest with those numbers which is VERY DIFFERENT than an account with that money inside. These claims are just unproven and are in fact a very good example of how unethical expert advisor sellers can be in the forex automated trading market.

Now, as far as the backtesting statements go and their reliability I would have to say that from the TP and SL values I could say that the one minute interpolation errors should be small, however, the EA could still be trading with inside bar data which could make real live results differ from backtesting results considerably. But ok, the system seems to perform alright from 2007 to 2009 and I believe that backtesting could overestimate profits (a lot) and underestimate loses (a lot too) but the overall picture seems credible.

The real problem comes in when we consider the length of the backtest and the lack of live testing. First, we dont have any idea of why the creator did not backtest his system from 1999 if the system is so profitable and we also dont know why he does not have any live or forward testing statements if he really believes his or her system to be as profitable. I would have to say that these things are always what makes me extremely suspecious about a trading system. If the author fails to provide testing information which would be obviously provided for a profitable trading system, then it is obviously because said information does not help his outrageous claims.

This expert is considered of course, not worth buying and the author would have to provide us longer backtests and live testing information so that we can ensure that there is back live testing consistency and that the EA can actually be long term profitable. Also, a check of the word "proven" in the dictionary wouldnt hurt.

If you would like to learn more about my opinions about the reality of automated trading and how you can also me profitable with automated trading systems please consider buying my ebook on automated trading or subscribing to my weekly newsletter to receive updates and check the live and demo accounts I am running with several expert advisors. I hope you enjoyed this article !

Diposting oleh Unknown 12.32 0 komentar

Forex Expert Advisors and Market Volatility Gods Gift

On an earlier post I had described the use of the ATR indicator as a means to control the stop loss and take profit values of forex expert advisors. I became very aware of this fact yesterday when I started to back test and optimize the Gods Gift expert advisor using its regular stop loss, take profit and trailing stop features.

I realized that the expert advisor made profits consistently using fixed stop loss and take profit values but starts to fail to do so at mid-late 2008. In forward testing this was confirmed as the expert made a good amount of profit from the beginning of 2008 up until the tests ended in mid October. After that, a live account was started to test the ea, account which has experienced more draw down than this same expert last year.

As you can see on the GBP/USD weekly charts displaying the ATR indicator, (shown below) volatility has increased expotentially during the past 6 months. This seems to be a consequence of market uncertainty and a general increase in volume across the forex market. Indeed, the market has been almost doubling its trading volume every year.
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Now, expert advisors that use a set of fixed stop loss and take profit are bound to fail because they cannot adjust to these ever changing market conditions. As a matter of fact, market conditions can just be expressed as a measure of volatility since human psychology remains the same, the only thing that changes is volume (of course, on the long run, human psychology should change as we should be able to learn from our previous mistakes, etc).

What I discovered, in the case of Gods Gift, is that there is a defined set of parameters that work well from 2004 to 2008 and a completely different set of parameters that works very well from mid 2008 to present. The main difference is that SL and TP values have to be widened enormously to take into account changing market volatility. This led me to program an ATR based stop and take profit on the Gods Gift expert advisor, this of course, allowed me to find a set of conditions that worked perfectly from 2004 to present.

If you would like to learn more about the exact results obtained with Gods Gift both in demo and life accounts as well as getting the new Gods Gift with ATR adjustable SL and TP please consider buying my ebook on automated trading or subscribing to my weekly newsletter to receive updates and check the live and demo accounts I am running with several expert advisors. I hope you enjoyed the article !

Diposting oleh Unknown 00.32 0 komentar

Forex Expert Advisors Forex Spectrum an Unbiased Review

A new expert advisor which claims to be something "never seen before" in the forex automated trading industry has just been released. This trading system, which was brought to my attention by an Asirikuy member, will be the subject of todays post. The trading system is named Forex Spectrum and the author claims that it is able to give more than 600% profit with "virtually no risk". On todays review I will analyze these claims against the evidence provided on the website and Ill give my opinion about whether or not the forex spectrum trading system is or is not worth buying and testing. My review will show you if the claims shown on the website can be taken as valid and if the "undisputable evidence" shown is in fact evidence of the claims made. Will the forex spectrum expert advisor pass the test ? Youll see within the next few paragraphs.

I have to say that I believe that it is always unethical to call anything forex related risk-free, making claims such as "with virtually no risk" makes people believe that they can achieve those profit levels without any market exposure something which is definitely misleading. People should take into account that forex always carries a high degree of risk, a fact that point out that there will always be some capital loses (sooner or later), which may or may not lead to profitable periods depending on the trading systems capabilities.

The claim made of a 600+% profit in a short time with almost no risk is one of the boldest I have ever seen (after the claim of 1000 USD to more than 3 million made by an EA a year ago) and not surprisingly there is absolutely no reliable evidence to backup this claim on the website. This expert advisor seller does not show 10 year backtest or live testing results which can stand behind what he is saying. What is the so called "indisuputable" evidence ? No more than a few trades shown on charts which could easily be made or hand picked from any trading strategy. These images say NOTHING about the likehood this trading system has of being long term profitable.

We also have some images of "statement shots" which could have been easily taken from any backtest and hand-picked to show a desired scenario. Why does the creator of forex spectrum NOT show 10 year backtesting and live testing results when they are SO easily available ? There is an EVIDENT hiding of easily obtainable evidence which would indeed backup the authors claims if they were coherent with reality, however the author does not show this evidence, obviously the simplest reason why the evidence is not shown is because it does NOT show any evidence of long term profitability.

I personally despise the hypocrisy of the sales pitch "this is not about money"- the author expresses- when it is evidently ONLY about money since the author seems to have no regard whatsoever for the future of peoples capital, selling them a system which has no evidence of profitability using bold claims and cheap marketing tactics. To sum it up, the overwhelming lack of evidence makes the forex spectrum expert advisor NOT worth buying or testing. The author would need to provide 10 year backtests coupled with a period of at least 3 months of live testing and a backtest of this same period to show back/live testing consistency, once this evidence is provided I will be glad to rewrite this review.

If you would like to learn more about my work in automated trading and how you too can start to develop and use automated trading systems with sound trading tactics please consider buying my ebook on automated trading or joining Asirikuy to receive all ebook purchase benefits, weekly updates, check the live accounts I am running with several expert advisors and get in the road towards long term success in the forex market using automated trading systems. I hope you enjoyed the article !

Diposting oleh Unknown 07.16 0 komentar

Choosing Among Online Forex Trading Systems

Forex is not really new in the financial market. In fact, it is not only known by big players in the world, but also by small organizations and individuals lately. Now, forex is no longer ruled by the big players; people from all walks of life can actually do forex trading.

Before plunging in trading, you must know certain terms that are used in the market. One important term is the forex trading system. What it is all about, and what is its use.

The birth of the internet has changed the face of forex trading. Because of this very valuable tool, the FX market is easier to access, making it more convenient to small players. And all most importantly, all of this happens in real time, which is why online traders can actually make quick decisions regarding their trade.

Forex trading system is ergonomic and intuitive. All the necessary functions involved in forex trading can be done from your main screen. You can place a trade and leave an order. And not only that, you can also conduct margin analysis and position/order management.

There are many companies, located in different countries, which can provide you with a forex trading system. The very first thing that a system usually involves is investment of money. Some companies would require you to invest as low as five dollars while some can ask for as high as five hundred dollars for upfront payments. Forex systems greatly vary, and it depends largely on the company offering such service.

With the system, you can purchase companies, stocks, and make investments even in other places. You can enhance your wealth and personal preferences by investing in a forex trading system. By investing a certain amount of money, you can make even more money in the future. The forex trading system that many traders know about is built among leading companies, investors, and worldwide currencies.

The trading system can be offline or online. You are free to choose which system will work best for you. However, online trading systems are gaining more and more popularity because you have easy access to the money that you've invested. Offline trading systems usually involves a lot of paperwork; while with an online system, you can instantly invest, trade, move, and remove money faster.

All it takes is for you to learn about the investment, and how to trust the right brokers in case you may need to make additional decisions in the future. You must be involved with a company which you can communicate with any time during a business day. That particular company should be able to provide you with a telephone number, fax number, and email address. Steer clear from companies which do not disclose such information.

Without the right trading system, you can't trade effectively. Therefore you must choose a system which is suited for you as an individual. You must consider the trading style and the risk that it involves. A system which focuses more in risk and money management techniques is a good one. Look for a company who has been in business for many years and those with proven professional experience. It must also provide you with tools and strategies that will help you in developing your very own online trading system. If you select the right company, you can find one that is of best value for your money.

Choosing a good, and probably the best, forex trading system is one of the first things that you should learn in forex. There are three factors usually considered in choosing a forex trading system, namely: profitability, acceptability, and one that fits your daily routine.

Profitability is probably the most important consideration. People invest money to make profits, and a good system should provide that. It is shown in dollar amounts or pips/month.

Every system has a drawdown, and it is also expressed in pips. It is the biggest decrease in equity in the past. In comparing different systems, you should take a close look on its historical drawdown.

Also check for the systems profit and loss ration, as well as its win and loss ratio. The system should have consistency and you can effectively tell this by looking into their monthly or quarterly, and yearly results.

Once you've chosen a system, learn all about it, and you can expect to gain a lot from your investment.

Diposting oleh Unknown 13.45 0 komentar

Forex Expert Advisors Forex Warlord an Unbiased Review

Two or three days ago a customer suggested the Forex Warlord System for Review. Since more people may be interested in the review of this trading system I decided to publish a review about it today. As always, my review will look at the claims made by the author of the EA and the evidence the author has to back them up. After analyzing this evidence as well as any statements and information about the experts technique on its website I will tell you if the system fulfills my criteria for long term profitability and if it is or is not worth buying and testing.

This trading system is made by a guy that goes by the name of "Paul Liburd", I have never heard of him and I dont have the slightest idea if he is a successful trader or not. For all I know, this guy is just someone trying to sell an expert advisor. Is there any evidence of his success as a manual trader ? Does he show any statements of accounts he has traded profitably ? Then why does he say he is a successful manual trader ? It makes no say that if he is not going to show any statements. The fact that he is also the author of forex accumulator points to the fact that he is just a guy trying to sell his automated trading systems which may or may not work. God knows if he is an actual person or just a figment of someones imagination.

However we are not here to discuss if Mr. Liburd exists but we are here to discuss if the system he presents is or is not as profitable as he says. The claims he makes are actually all based on simulation. The few partial screenshots of winning trades he shows like the "38500 in 5 trades, nos loss" screenshot are just not believable unless we can get access to the statement. Any system can have 5 consecutive loses or profits, I dont care about those small aspects of trading. From the partial backtesting result shown we can see that the EA has a 10 to 1 risk to reward ratio. Talk about unsound trading tactics ! Of course, this EA is profitable in backtesting because, as many, it is probably made to take advantage of backtesting vulnerabilities that can be exploited. The result with this kind of EA is usually that in live testing profitability diminishes a lot and therefore the very unfavorable risk to reward ratio cashes on the market exposure and kills the system.

Are the backtests valid ? Well, there are NO live tests to confirm that they are, therefore we assume they are NOT because it is the most probable scenario. We always need to have back/live testing consistency in order to use backtesting as valid evidence of profitability. This guy is simply crazy if he thinks he can sell a system to knowledgeable traders with such scarce and incomplete proof. Why is the backtesting statement not available ? Why doesnt he show the dates ? Why are they no live tests if his system is so profitable ?

And what about the "manual performance graph" ? Please, I could make that in excel in ten minutes. Show us a REAL account with investor access we can believe and we will believe you got those results. Anyone can say anything and expect to be believed but it is just too bad that there are people out there willing to lie so bluntly. Of course, I will apologize for saying this and I will redo my review is evidenced is shown to backup every claim made on the website. I would like investor access to the statements of the manual system as well as 10 year backtests and live tests to confirm backtesting validity. Why do I feel I will never get this info ?

Because of all the things I have said before I consider this system NOT worth buying or testing until all the necessary evidence to believe the claims is available. Meanwhile, if you would like to learn more about automated trading system evaluation and the requirements for long term automated profitable trading please consider buying my ebook on automated trading or subscribing to my weekly newsletter to receive updates and check the live and demo accounts I am running with several expert advisors. I hope you enjoyed the article !

Diposting oleh Unknown 03.45 0 komentar

Carrying Trades in Forex Trading For Interest

People have often think about systems which they can trade that will bring them the most long term profit with the least risk. Some of the most popular systems used to achieve this by large investors and banking institutions is the carry trade. What is this popular form of investment which is so common amongst these "big guys" ? The carry trade is simply when you buy a high yielding currency with a low yielding currency, getting an overnight interest on your position. Todays post will be dedicated to the discussion of the carry trade and why it is in fact a good yet NOT risk free fundamental-based strategy.

So how do you place a carry trade ? As I say, you need to buy a high yielding currency with the lowest possible low yielding currency (to get the highest possible interest). For example right now you could buy AUD with USD since the interest rate of the Australian central bank is 4.00% and the US central banks is 0.25%, effectively giving you a very favorable interest differential. Once you get into this position you will receive an overnight interest which is often called the "swap" which is 6 USD for each 100,000 USD. In the year you would get about 2190 USD which would mean a 2.2% interest rate.

But why isnt the carry trade risk free ? When you buy any forex pair, you effectively expose yourself to the variation of the instruments value. For example, if you bought AUD/USD at 0.8 and then after a year it is at 0.6, then the fact is that you lost 25% in addition to the 2.2% you made on interest so the actual exposure you have to the variation in the currencys value is what will make or break your profits. There is also the opposite possibility that the AUD/USD goes up to 1.0 effectively making you 25% profit.

People often try to reduce their risk in carry trades by hedging different currencies, but what they are effectively doing is changing their risk from one instrument to another. For example, hypothecally, if AUD/USD and USD/EUR were carry trades, then buying both would just mean you are exposing yourself to AUD/EUR. In fact, the forex market is made in such a way that reaching a combination of pairs which give positive swap and a final exposure to X/X (AUD/AUD on our previous example) simply does NOT exist. This is due to the fact that such a combination would be a sort of arbitrage since it would give you almost no risk.

In fact, it may be reasonable to get into different positive carry trades to diversify risk somewhat but this does not mean that your trading is risk-free. In fact, when the carry trade unwinds, due to changes in central bank interest rates (like in 2008), people will lose on ALL their carry trades, no matter the different amount of pairs they actually have. If you want to trade for interest, you need to realize that what you are doing is playing a fundamental game which will change players as the economy changes. The carry trade is NOT a set and forget strategy, you need to stay on top of the interest rates and close your positions as the gap between interest rates becomes lower.

You also need to take into account your exposure to changes in the currency pairs. Always trade such that you will not buy more lots than what you have in your account. With 1:100 leverage this means that you need to reduce the trading size by a factor of 100. For example, if you have a 1000 USD account, instead of trading 1 lot which equals 100,000 USD, trade 0.01 lots which equals 1000 USD. This way you will be absolutely covered and you will only get wiped out if the currency pair you get reaches 0. However you can increase your risk a little bit more to 0.02 meaning that you would only get wiped out by a 50% variation of the currency, something which is also very unlikely.

The best moment to start investing in a carry trade is as soon as the swap becomes positive. When this happens people start to put money into the carry trade and you are in for a long term ride, however always consider the above risk statements and have your account ready for draw downs which WILL happen when you take a carry trade. Also remember to exit positions when there are signs of economic turmoil, which may happen every 6-10 years. It is of the utmost importance to always have in mind that the carry trade is a fundamental strategy and as such it demands constant vigilance over economic conditions and interest rate differentials.

If however you are not interest in the carry trade but you would like to know more about my automated trading systems and how you too can learn to program your own long term profitable trading systems please consider buying my ebook on automated trading or joining Asirikuy to receive all ebook purchase benefits, weekly updates, check the live accounts I am running with several expert advisors and get in the road towards long term success in the forex market using automated trading systems. I hope you enjoyed the article !

Diposting oleh Unknown 10.16 0 komentar

FOREX INFO

FOREX INFO

Forex forex news and info greatly affect the price, the price that dramatic can happen when there is an unexpected event occurs. These events can include higher interest rates from central banks to political events or activities of the war. Nevertheless, it is often not the event itself that drives the market, but expectations of an event that created the market movements. So that the movement would seem to be a trend. Is the trend going up or going down trend. Very interesting to try playing from the influence of foreign exchange forex news.



Well .. There are some news that many influential foreign currency against the USD:

1. Average Earning>> Up>> Stronger
2. Balance of Payment>> Up>> Stronger
3. Budget Deficit>> Down>> Stronger
4. Business Inventories>> Down>> Stronger
5. Capacity Utilization>> Up>> Stronger
6. Car Sales>> Up>> Stronger
7. Chicago PMI (Purchasing Management Index)>> Rise>> Stronger
8. Spending Constuction>> Up>> Stronger
9. Consumer Confidence Index (CCI)>> Rise>> Stronger
10. Consumer Credit (CI)>> Rise>> Stronger
11. Consumer Price Index (CPI)>> Rise>> Stronger
12. Consumer Spending (Expenditure)>> Down>> Stronger
13. Cost of Living>> Up>> Stronger
14. Current acount>> Down>> Stronger
15. Corporate Profit>> Up>> Stronger
16. Deflation>> Up>> Stronger
17. Discount Rate>> Up>> Stronger
18. Durabel Goods Orders>> Up>> Stronger
19. Econimic Monetary System (EMS)>> Rise>> Stronger
20. Factory Orders>> Up>> Stronger
21. Federal Budget>> Up>> Stronger
22. Federal Reserve Fund>> Up>> Stronger
23. Gross Domestic Product (GDP)>> Rise>> Stronger
24. Gross National Product (GNP)>> Rise>> Stronger
25. Housing Start>> Up>> Stronger
26. Industrial Productions>> Up>> Stronger
27. Invisible Trade>> Down>> Stronger
28. Jobless Claims>> Down>> Stronger
29. Leading Indicator>> Up>> Stronger
30. Money Supply (M1, M2, M3, M4)>> Rise>> Stronger
31. National Association>> Up>> Stronger
32. (NAPM)>> Rise>> Stronger
33. Non-farm payrolls>> Up>> Stronger
34. Personal Expenditure>> Up>> Stronger
35. Personal Income>> Down>> Stronger
36. Prime Rate>> Up>> Stronger
37. Product Price Index (PPI)>> Rise>> Stronger
38. Public Sector Debt repayment>> Up>> Stronger
39. Retail Sales>> Down>> Stronger
40. Trade Balance>> Up>> Stronger
41. Trade Devicit>> Down>> Stronger
42. Trade Weighted Index>> Down>> Stronger
43. Unemployment Rate>> Down>> Stronger
44. Unit Labour Cost>> Up>> Stronger
45. Value Added Tax>> Up>> Stronger
46. Visible Trade>> Up>> Stronger

Do you all have been proved that picture above .. I take this data from several sources ..

I want to trade forex with news as a combination teknikel which I use for this ..

Diposting oleh Unknown 00.46 0 komentar

Does Hedging on the same currency pair Really Exist A Look at Position Holding in Forex Trading

One of the things I consider the funniest about forex traders is that they seem to have a strong opposition against the removal of "hedging" from their trading capacity. However few of them do realize that the traditional hedging we have seen where you buy and sell a given currency pair at the same time is merely and illusion and that in reality it doesnt exist or -for that matter- make any real sense. On todays post I want to talk about the concept of hedging, why it simply doesnt exist in reality and why any strategy that uses this concept can be implemented without its use. After reading this post you will understand better that hedging a currency pair by having open long and short positions at the same time is not possible in the real market and you ll see how you can actually understand what you are doing when you have this on your account and how it can be implemented within your strategy to have the exact same results without ever having more than one position opened per currency pair.

What is hedging after all ? In general it refers to the taking of opposite positions with a certain degree of correlation that offers some protection against side movements in the market. So for example going short EUR/USD and short USD/CHF is bound to guarantee some protection against variations in either currency pair since they are heavily and negatively correlated. However since the correlation is not 1 the actual effectiveness of this hedge depends on market conditions and - when correlation is temporarily lost - such hedges become extremely dangerous.

However, when people in the MT4 community refer to "hedging" they generally talk about having a long and short position opened at the same time on a currency pair. For example they open up a long on the EUR/USD at X price and then a short afterwards to cover up their loses or to "fix" some of the profit level they have achieved. Many traders who are not familiar with how the market works consider hedging absolutely vital for their success and the removal of this feature seems to be extremely unacceptable.

When we look close having a short and a long trade opened on the same pair is merely an illusion. What you are doing is buying and selling the same contract so if you were actually carrying out currency exchanges (of physical currency) you would have done the same exchange twice and ended up with what you started with (your ending net positioning is 0). It doesnt actually make sense if you think about it and the way it has been implemented in MT4 is practical in some ways but very misleading in others.

As a matter of fact, any hedging strategy can be implemented EXACTLY in the same way without ever having two positions opened in the market. For example if you bought USD/JPY at 85.54 then you want to enter a short position at 84.54 then exit the short and the long at 86.54 the same effect would be realized if you closed the long at 85.54 because closing the long is indeed what you would be doing in reality if you entered a short. The later point where you exit both the long and short is irrelevant since your net positioning from the open of the short is 0.

Case 1 ( Buy 85.54, Sell 84.54, Close both 86.54)

Long Result = 86.54-85.54 = 100 pip profit
Short Result = 84.54-86.54 = 200 pip loss

Net Result = 100 pip loss

Case 2 (Buy 85.54, Close 84.54)

Long Result = 85.54-84.54 = 100 pip loss

Net Result = 100 pip loss

So in summary it is now evident that the current "short and long hedging ability" in metatrader 4 is simply an illusion and that any strategy can be implemented which currently relies on this feature simply by taking into account the net positioning of the account. When shorts are entered they close longs and when longs are entered they close shorts. In the end this leads to the exact same effect as we would have had if we had simply opened all the short and long positions simultaneously since what matters is merely our net positioning in the market. This is the approach that really makes sense and falls in line with what would happen in a physicial currency exchange.

To sum it up, if you currently have a portfolio trading on the same instrument or if you are trading a system that opens longs and shorts on the same currency pair, dont worry about hedging as you can always implement your strategy using a net positioning approach, something we will all have to do once we move entirely towarsd metatrader 5.

If you would like to learn more about my journey in automated trading and how you too can code likely long term profitable systems using reliable trading tactics please consider buying my ebook on automated trading or joining Asirikuy to receive all ebook purchase benefits, weekly updates, check the live accounts I am running with several expert advisors and get in the road towards long term success in the forex market using automated trading systems. I hope you enjoyed the article !

Diposting oleh Unknown 16.45 0 komentar