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Tampilkan postingan dengan label likely. Tampilkan semua postingan

Gods Gift v 7c A Free Likely Profitable Expert Advisor

For the past two weeks I have searched relentlessly for a profitable free expert advisor to fill the void left by the free expert advisor portfolio I stopped trading.

As you may know, finding free profitable expert advisors is very difficult given the fact that they are many of them, with limited information on their workings and objective. At the end, I think I found a light at the end of the tunnel.

This expert advisor I found named Gods Gift v7c coded by Matt Edmonds seems to be the answer to my prayers. The way I discriminated this expert from the rest was by back testing. And yes, we all feel the same way about it (does not work very good, I know it) but it is nevertheless a tool to separate possibly profitable experts from unprofitable ones, not to say that every expert resulting profitable in back testing would be in forward testing.

The back testing results are very good. After optimizing some of the parameters associated with this expert, I managed to get, using Alpari data and 90% modelling quality, a maximum draw down below 10% with a relative draw down below 15%. All of this with a 50% yearly profit, back tested from December 2004 to January 2008. This I have to say, is exactly what I am looking for. The strategy tester report can be seen here.

The expert advisor finds its entries with the help of the Waddah Attar Explosion indicator coupled with Keltner Channels. You can see this in the image at the end of this post. The expert advisor seems to perform very well on the GBP/USD pair with the time frame making apparently no difference although the back testing report was done using the one hour time frame.

I like everything about this expert advisor. Fixed stop loss, trailing stop and apparently a low draw down with a modest profit on average each month. I have started to forward test it today and see how it does in the real market. Everything points out to this expert being profitable, let us hope it lives up to its back testing results ! Wish me luck !



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A new Likely Long Term Profitable Trading System The GBP JPY daily breakout system

As many of you may know, I am always on the search for new automated trading systems to test and increase the size of our profitable trading portfolio. My criteria before testing has luckily saved me from testing useless expert advisors that would have never been profitable because of their unsound logic, money management, etc. However, some systems have gone through my extensive searching criteria and are now going to be subject of a 2 years long forward testing on one of my virtual private servers.

Today I would like to introduce you to one of this likely long term profitable expert advisors which is the GBP/JPY daily system which was pointed out to me by a newsletter subscriber. The system which was originally proposed to me was however not long term profitable since it simply relied on entering positions on breakouts of the first N bars of each weeks trade on the GBP/JPY and trading then using a fixed SL, TP and money management.

Testing of this strategy gave profitable results for most 2008 and 2009, nonetheless the expert failed dramatically before 2008 as a consequence of a change in market conditions which did not favor the expert advisor. My solution was quiet straightforward, I adjusted every variable of the expert advisor to be adjusted dynamically according to the range of the "box" formed between the high and low determined by the first N bars of the week on the one hour chart.

Testing revealed however that the system was still missing something to be profitable since no matter what we did, the system did not seem to profit between 2000 and 2007. Then it was perfectly clear that the system does not work when the GBP/JPY behaves as a carry trade and only works when it behaves as a trending pair like the EUR/USD. The solution then seemed quiet straightforward. I included both ATR and ADX volatility filters which kept the EA out of all the large losing periods while letting it trade profitably during the times where it would get the most profit. The results ? You can see them below (backtesting from 1999).
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It is evident from this that you can take almost any system that is not long term profitable and with the right thinking in mind turn it into a long term profitable expert advisor. Of course, this system will start to be tested and all my newsletter subscribers will get access to it as well as my weekly comments on its trading and performance.
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If you want to learn more about profitable expert advisors and the criteria I use to create them please consider buying my ebook on automated trading or subscribing to my weekly newsletter to receive updates and check the live and demo accounts I am running with several expert advisors. I hope you enjoyed this article !
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The Simple Daily System Likely Profitable Forex Free Expert Advisor

Three months ago, I wrote a post about the Simple Daily System expert advisor. This free system was doing very good at that time proving to be a profitable and reliable trading system. Now, after four months of forward testing, there are several things I would like to share with you about this free automated trading system.

The SDS ea went smoothly through the rangy period at the end of 2008 and gracefully entered 2009 with profits above 50%. After four months of forward testing, the expert currently stands at a very profitable more than 70% capital increase with a low maximum draw down. (Below the forward testing equity graph of this expert from November 2008 to February 2009)
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The simple daily system is a clear example of a high quality expert advisor that can be traded for free. It is excellent at following and capturing profits from daily trends (captured more than 1000 pips on an uptrend at the end of 2008). and staying on the sidelines on ranging markets. Needless to say, the simple daily system now qualifies as a likely profitable expert advisor for me and will be considered profitable after it succeeds at 6 months of live trading with profitable results. A live account will be tested from the first week of March.

If you would like to learn more about the Simple Daily Systems results and settings please consider buying my ebook on automated trading or subscribing to my weekly newsletter to receive updates and check the live and demo accounts I am running with several expert advisors. I hope you enjoyed the article !
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